Quantifying uncertainty in pulsed field ablation due to parameter diversity in conductivity models

Quantifying uncertainty in state and parameter estimation.

Observability of state variables and parameters of a dynamical system from an observed time series is analyzed and quantified by means of the Jacobian matrix of the delay coordinates map. For each state variable and each parameter to be estimated, a measure of uncertainty is introduced depending on the current state and parameter values, which allows us to identify regions in state and paramete...

Quantifying uncertainty in elevation models using kriging

Raster based digital elevation models (DEM) are the basis of some of the most important GIS workflows: hydrologic modeling, site suitability, and cost path analysis. While there are several techniques for generating digital elevation models (DEMs), none of them can produce a true elevation surface. Locally varying measurement error and the inexactness of the interpolation methods contribute to ...

Quantifying Model Output Uncertainty Due to Spatial Variability of Rainfall'

Traditionally in the application of hydrologic/water quality (H/WQ) models, rainfall is assumed to be spatially homogeneous and is considered not to contribute to output uncertainty. The objective of this study was to assess the uncertainty induced in model outputs solely due to rainfall spatial variability. The study was conducted using the AGNPS model and the rainfall pattern captured by a ne...

Parameter Uncertainty in Credit Risk Portfolio Models

Quantification of Uncertainty Due to Subgrid Heterogeneity in Reservoir Models

Due to the lack of data, a reservoir engineer needs to calibrate unknown petrophysical parameters based on production history. However, because the observations cannot constrain all the subsurface properties over a field, production forecasts for reservoirs are essentially uncertain. In general, many parameters of the model must be adjusted in the historymatching process, and the amount of comp...